Tag Archives: Patrick Corbin

New rumors have shortstop Jean Segura possibly headed to Phillies

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Could Segura be bringing his speed and shortstop play to the Phillies soon?

The Seattle Mariners are easily the busiest team in Major League Baseball to this point in the Hot Stove season. Seattle general manager Jerry Dipoto has already pulled off two deals, and is now reportedly on the verge of at least two more.

On November 8, Dipoto sent catcher Mike Zunino and two others to the Tampa Bay Rays in exchange for outfielder Mallex Smith and a prospect.
Less than two weeks later he traded away pitcher James Paxton to the New York Yankees, receiving pitching prospect Justus Sheffield as part of a three-prospect package.
The big story over the last 24 hours has been the finalization of a deal between the Mariners and New York Mets. In that trade, reports have the Mets new GM Brodie Van Wagenen sending veteran outfielder Jay Bruce, reliever Anthony Swarzak, and a pair of recent first round draft picks in outfielder Jarred Kelenicand pitcher Justin Dunn to Seattle.
Headed to the Big Apple in the deal would be veteran second baseman Robinson Cano along with the best relief pitcher in the game last year, Edwin Diaz.
Numerous reports are now saying that the deal could go down this weekend at some point, but certainly by Monday at the latest. The two teams apparently have settled on the players involved. Now they are sorting out financials, such as whether and how much money would be exchanged to help alleviate contract concerns regarding Cano, as well as player physicals.
The Mariners are also rumored to be involved with the Phillies in trade talks involving shortstop Jean Segura. In fact, a heavy Mariners follower on Twitter, Trent Hadler, tweeted early on Friday morning that a Segura to the Phillies deal could come down soon.
Colome to the White Sox, Segura to the Phillies, and Cano/Diaz to the Mets all could be announced tomorrow, according to a insider for the Mariners

104 people are talking about this

How good Hadler’s information is, if at all, and who is the “insider’ providing it remains unknown. I contacted him today, and Hadler told me that he had information from someone inside the Mariners organization who had previously been reliable. That source was stating that the only holdup to the deal was the prospect(s) going back to Seattle from the Phillies in the deal.
MLB insider Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic tweeted later this afternoon that the Phillies could still be in on Segura. If there is any credence to it, there would be major ramifications for the Phillies.
showed interest in Jean Segura-Edwin Diaz package from , sources tell The Athletic. Might still have interest in Segura alone if Diaz-Cano to goes through.

328 people are talking about this

First off, who would be going to the Mariners? There has been talk in recent days that Seattle was interested in Phillies pitcher Zach Eflin. If that happens, it could be a simple straight-up deal. Same if it turns out the J.P. Crawford is the player head to the Pacific Northwest. If the Phillies move any prospect from the top of their list, it would most likely be pitcher Adonis Medina.
Besides the player going to Seattle in return, how would the Phillies then shuffle around their other infielders? If Crawford stays, you might see the Phillies keep Segura at this natural shortstop position, put Scott Kingery back at second base, and stay with Maikel Franco at third base. That would leave Crawford as either a super-utility player or even back as the starting shortstop at Triple-A Lehigh Valley, at least to open the season.
But…what then happens with Manny Machado? Does an acquisition of Segura mean that the Phillies are out on the superstar free agent? Maybe. Maybe not. The Phillies could still sign Machado and then play either he or Segura at third base. Or they could shuffle Segura over to second, and play Machado at short with Franco or Kingery at third.
Phillies general manager Matt Klentak could also still jump back in on Diaz if the Mets deal somehow falls through, though that appears a longshot at this point.
Segura will turn 29-years-old during spring training. He is signed at $14.85 million per year through 2022 when he will be 32 years of age. There is a further $17 million team option for 2023 with a $1 million buyout.

An all-star in both the National League (2013) and American League (2018), Segura has averaged 10 homers, 50 RBI, 78 runs scored, and 27 steals over his six full big-league seasons. He comes with a career .287/.327/.404 career slash line, and has been particularly effective over the last three seasons during which he has accumulated a 13 WAR total.

Defensively, Segura has spent most of his career at the shortstop position. However, he was the Arizona Diamondbacks starting second baseman during the 2016 campaign. Fangraphs has him at 11th in all of baseball in their shortstop defensive rankings for the 2018 season.
In any event, the Hot Stove is roaring as the calendar flips to December at midnight. If the Phillies do anything quickly it would likely be a Segura deal with Seattle and/or a free agent signing of pitcher Patrick Corbin. The left-hander appears to be making his final decision between the Phillies, the New York Yankees, and the Washington Nationals.

Originally published at Phillies Nation as Jean Segura from Mariners to Phillies this weekend?

The Phillies are being linked to numerous deals in this Hot Stove season

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The Phillies are being linked to closer Craig Kimbrel and many other free agents

This past weekend saw the annual holiday shopping season open with the mall-walking and store-hopping zaniness of Black Friday. Today has become known as ‘Cyber Monday’, where the gift-purchasing moves to the internet.

The teams of Major League Baseball are also doing some shopping of their own. New rumor logs are being tossed on the Hot Stove fires on a daily basis at this point, keeping baseball fans warm with thoughts of moves by their favorite teams to put them over the top.
To categorize things down in South Philly at the offices of the Philadelphia Phillies as “hot” might actually be an understatement. The team is being linked on a regular basis with almost every half-decent free agent name and trade candidate available.
We have already covered two big names today here at Phillies Nation with my piece on the GM Matt Klentak’s reported talks with Arizona regarding Dbacks superstar Paul Goldschmidt. And our Drew Rhoades wrote of the Phillies interest in lefty reliever Andrew Miller.
The Phillies involvement in the sweepstakes to land one or the other or both of the two biggest-ticket items this holiday season is well known. Both outfielder Bryce Harper and shortstop Manny Machado are apparently at the very top of the Phillies shopping wish list.
However, as Jon Morosi at MLB.com reiterated today, the club is looking down a lengthy holiday shopping list, and they very well could start checking off some other items first, while still trying to pick-up those top prizes.

“The Phillies aren’t waiting on decisions from Harper and Machado as the team ambitiously pursues upgrades to its roster…sources said it’s possible the Phils will sign multiple free agents before Harper or Machado agree to terms.”

Morosi ticked off some names that his sources have revealed are on that Phillies shopping list including pitchers Patrick CorbinNathan Eovaldi and J.A. Happ. The list also includes outfielders A.J. Pollock and Michael Brantley.
Also mentioned by Morosi was the Phillies recently reported interest in closer Edwin Diaz, who the Seattle Mariners say could be available, but for a price. Our Tim Kelly here at Phillies Nation recently wrote that the Phillies were showing interest in both Diaz and Mariners infielder Jean Segura.
Morosi mentions either of the Phillies top two pitching prospects, Sixto Sanchez or Adonis Medina, as likely having to be included in such a deal with Seattle. He also states that if they fail in that pursuit, the club could be adding closers Craig Kimbrel or Zach Britton to their list.

Suffice it to say that as you are out at the stores or at home (or work) on the internet doing your own shopping, Matt Klentak and his team down at Citizens Bank Park are doing their own.

I think it’s fair to say that if you are a Phillies fan, the GM will be stuffing something into your stocking long before Santa ever has a chance to come sliding down your chimney a month from now. Let’s hope that when all is said and done, that Klentak finds himself on our “nice” list, and not our “naughty” list.

Originally published at Phillies Nation as “Phillies holiday shopping list goes well beyond biggest-ticket items

The Phillies are likely to spend big this off-season

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The Phillies have the money to sign Harper and the will to spend that and more

The baseball world is waiting. Waiting for all of the talk, rumor, and speculation that has characterized the start of the ‘Hot Stove’ season to turn into action.

In few other cities is that talk more heated than right here in Philadelphia. The hometown Phillies would appear to have a ton of money to spend and the will of ownership to spend that money.
Last week here at Phillies Nation, I made the case that the team could afford to sign Bryce Harper as a free agent, perhaps Manny Machadoas well, keep paying homegrown stars Aaron Nola and Rhys Hoskins, sign a free agent pitcher such as Patrick Corbin, and still have enough to make a legitimate play for Mike Trout when he becomes a free agent in two years.
Rob Huff at MLB Trade Rumors did a great job with his piece today in breaking down the Phillies projected 2019 payroll. In that piece he largely paints a picture that would seem to support my theory.
Early on in this piece, Huff describes well the hot seat that GM Matt Klentak finds himself sitting on right now:

“While Klentak appears to have strong support from ownership, the fourth year of a rebuild is traditionally moving time: if it’s going to work, the wins need to show up and in a big way.”

Huff then moves through a breakdown of the current roster and payroll situation, correctly (in my mind) reading the Hoskins, Carlos Santana, and Jake Arrieta issues.
On Maikel Franco, who some seem to think the Phillies are going to trade this off-season (a move I do not support), Huff again gets it right by stating that Franco “…may represent a tough non-tender decision in future years if he continues to struggle getting on base, but for now, he has age, power, and pedigree on his side, justifying his $5.1 million figure.
Getting to the issue of the Phillies possible pursuit of Harper and Machado, we see that Huff agrees with me:

“…they’re definitely players for Harper and Machado, and from a purely financial perspective, it’s within the realm of possibility that they could be contenders to sign both young stars.”

Principal owner John Middleton is on record as being willing to spend significantly to improve the roster.
Huff wraps up his piece with a six-point list of circumstances which point to his conclusion that “…the Phillies are going to spend and spend big.”
Those six include the clubs need to add an impact bat or two at any position other than first base. They also include a history showing that the club has been willing and able to support payrolls nearly double the average spent over the last three seasons. Finally, there is a front office and ownership group willing and motivated to spend.
Huff projects the Phillies payroll to come in around the $160 million mark for the 2019 season. This would leave them with the possibility of spending an additional $50 million in staying under the Luxury Tax.
That is a significant figure by itself. However, should Klentak be able to dump Santana on some team willing to pay any of the $20 million owed him, that available figure would rise. It would rise again should the Phillies do as I suggest, and non-tender Hernandez.
Being able to move Santana and Hernandez off the payroll could free up another $15 million for new and future salaries. Huff makes the same case that I made, and that many others have made, that the Phillies have money to spend and the need and desire to spend it. And now, we all wait.

Originally published at Phillies Nation as “Phillies expected by MLBTR to spend and spend big this winter

Phillies targeting lefty pitching this off-season per Jim Bowden

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Former big-league GM Jim Bowden has inside info on Phillies targets

Philadelphia Phillies general manager Matt Klentak and his counterparts across Major League Baseball have now wrapped up the annual GM meetings, held over the last three days in Carlsbad, California.

This morning, Jim Bowden reported for The Athletic that he had reached out to sources inside the Phillies organization, along with the other 29 organizations.
The former GM and MLB Executive of the Year obtained information as to the club’s “biggest needs and priorities for the next month and the remainder of the winter“, and then gave his opinion as to which players the team might target in trades and as free agents.
Two of the needs and priorities for the Phillies would be fairly obvious to any fan who followed the team this past season: improving the offense and defense.
The Phillies ranked 29th of the 30 teams in Major League Baseball in errors committed despite ranking just eighth in total chances handled. This caused the club to also finish 29th in fielding percentage.
Offensively the club finished tied for 21st in runs scored and OPS. Despite a supposed emphasis on reaching base, the Phillies finished tied for 18th in baseball in on-base percentage. They were 15th in home runs and 23rd in stolen bases.
Among the bats that Bowden mentions as being on the Phillies radar are the two biggest free agent names, two frequently linked to the club: Manny Machado and Bryce Harper.
Also mentioned as possible free agent targets for the club in the outfield are Michael BrantleyA.J. Pollock, and Andrew McCutchen. Trade targets in the outfield ranks among those rumored as available are Mitch Haniger and Kevin Kiermaier.
Infielders who Bowden believes that the Phillies will be looking at are free agent third baseman Josh Donaldson and shortstop Jose Iglesias.
Every pitcher attached to the Phillies by Bowden is a southpaw. The list includes free agent lefty starters Patrick CorbinDallas KeuchelGio Gonzalez, Hyun-jin Ryu and J.A. Happ, and left-handed reliever Zach Britton.

Also on Bowden’s list as Phillies pitching targets are Japanese lefty Yusei Kikuchi and Seattle Mariners left-hander James Paxton, rumored to be available on the trade market.
We’ve covered the Phillies interest in a number of these players already here at Phillies Nation this off-season. Continue to follow us as the days and weeks move along, and more and more of these logs are tossed onto the Hot Stove fires. We’ll have all of the most reliable Phillies rumors and reports, as well as stories on any deals that actually get done.

Originally published at Phillies Nation as “Lefty pitching reportedly among Phillies top priorities this off-season

Phillies have enough to sign Bryce Harper and still go after Mike Trout in two years

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Signing Harper (L) would not preclude also signing Trout (R) and others

There is an old saying when discussing finances – you can’t have it all. Nearly everyone, even most wealthy folks, have to make choices at some point about how to spend their money.

Back in April of this year, Forbes released their annual Major League Baseball team values. The Philadelphia Phillies came in at ninth on the list with a $1.7 billion value attached.
But just because the Phillies are valued that highly doesn’t mean they can spend a billion dollars on player salaries.
How much can the team actually spend? Can they really afford a free agent contract of the magnitude that Bryce Harper or Manny Machado would surely command?
If the Phillies lay out the huge sum that it will cost to bring one or both of those young superstars to Citizens Bank Park for the 2019 season and well into the next decade, how would that affect their ability to put together a further competitive roster?
The team and the fan base certainly would like to be able to afford homegrown young stars Aaron Nola and Rhys Hoskins. And what about the ultimate Phillies fan pipe dream, bringing Mike Trout home when he becomes a free agent in a couple of years?
Well, I’m here to tell you that it can all get done. Well, at least most of it. In the end you might not have it all. But you will have a lot, and what you do have should excite you.

FISHING FOR TROUT

First, let’s assume that you really, really want the Phillies to sign Trout when he becomes a free agent after the 2020 season. That is your ‘Plan A’, the one thing that you want above all others, with everything being equal.
I don’t have to stretch my assumptions to believe that is the case. Any Phillies fan who has been listening to talk radio and following the fans on social media for the last couple of years knows full well that bringing Trout to South Philly is their dream.
Let’s assume it is your dream. What would that take? What might a long-term Trout contract look like?
Figure in what Harper and Machado are likely to get this year. Factor in that Trout will turn 29-years-old when he hits free agency in the fall of 2020. Know that he will have already made over $146 million by that time.
Trout may be looking for the same 10-year deal that will likely be the ask to land either Harper or Machado, even though he will be a couple of years older than both players are now. Such a deal would take Trout through his age 38 season, basically the rest of his career.
I think that we could be looking here at a landmark contract. Trout has been the consensus best player in baseball for a few years now. He has stayed mostly healthy. He is a solid citizen. He is a seven-time all-star, five-time Silver Slugger, two-time MVP. Three other times he has been the runner-up for the AL MVP Award. All of that already at just age 26 years.
It is completely reasonable to believe that we could be looking at baseball’s first $400 million deal. Ten years, $400 million. That is the price tag that I am putting on the next Trout contract, beginning in 2021. So that is where you begin. You will need to factor in roughly $40 million per year of your player salary budget from 2021-30 for Trout.
Let’s say that the Phillies are able to successfully woo Harper to town. He ends up with a $350 million deal over a decade, which, by the way, could be conservative. That would mean budgeting roughly $35 million each year from 2019-2028.
In these combined scenarios you would have Trout and Harper from 2021-28, eight full years, for a total of about $75 million per season spent on just two players.

COMMITMENTS ALREADY MADE

Now what else have the Phillies already committed in salaries over the coming years? There are two big commitments, dollar-wise, that the club has on the books at the present time.
Jake Arrieta is owed $25 million in 2019 and $20 million in 2020. Carlos Santana is owed roughly $20 million each of those same two years. Arrieta has a player option for 2020, so it’s possible you won’t have to worry about that – but let’s assume he stays. For the first two years of the Harper deal, you would also be paying out those two contracts.
The team also owes roughly $22 million next season for the combined contracts on outfielder Odubel Herrera and relievers Pat Neshek and Tommy Hunter. Don’t sweat the pitchers too much, next year is the final year for both.
Finally, the Phillies owe Scott Kingery. But his deal costs just $1.5 million next year and $1.75 million in 2020. Let’s assume the non-tender of Cesar Hernandez and his replacement by Kingery. That saves the club some $7 million or so to fill the second base position with what I believe will prove an upgrade.

ARBITRATION AND THE REST

Earlier this week I wrote a piece here at Phillies Nation on the 10 players eligible for arbitration. If the club does the smart thing and listens to me, signing only the seven players I suggested, it would cost them an estimated $21 million. Those seven are Aaron Nola, Vince VelasquezJerad EickhoffHector NerisAdam MorganMaikel Franco, and Aaron Altherr.
Let’s add it up so far based on next season. For roughly $125 million you would have Kingery and Franco as infielders, Harper, Herrera and Altherr as outfielders. You would have Nola, Velasquez and Eickhoff as rotation options. Righties Neris, Hunter and Neshek along with lefty Morgan in the pen.
Every other returnee could be brought back at the Major League Baseball minimum salary of $555 million for 2019. Here we are talking about players such as Hoskins, Roman QuinnNick WilliamsJorge AlfaroNick PivettaEdubray RamosVictor Arano and J.P. Crawford.
With these figures as a baseline, the Phillies player salaries for the 2019 season would total roughly $145 million. The only new player you have brought in would be Harper. In 2020, you drop off the $16 million from Neshek/Hunter, factor a slight bump up for Herrera/Kingery, and you would have roughly $13 million more to spend.

PLEASE SIT, I WANT SOME MORE

Were it me, and I hope that Matt Klentak is thinking this way, Harper is not my only free agent this off-season. I would be going after at least one starting pitcher at the top of the market.
That would mean someone such as Patrick Corbin. The left-hander could end up costing you $75 million over five years. Even that $15 million more per year keeps you at around $160 million for next season, and the contract is nearly paid for by the 2020 contract adjustments.
The Phillies can certainly afford not only that, but more. And they are actually allowed to spend over $40 million more if they so desire without going over the Competitive Balance Tax threshold of $206 million for 2019. That CBT rises to $208 million in 2020 and then $210 million in 2021 before the MLB-MLBPA Basic Agreement runs out in December 2021.

NOLA AND HOSKINS

This is Nola’s first of three arbitration-eligible seasons. So there is no rush to get a long-term deal done from the team’s perspective. He just put up a Cy Young Award-contending season. His value is high, and probably won’t get any higher.
I would work out a 2019 contract for him this off-season, and then look at a long-term deal next summer or next off-season. By then we would have a better idea of the overall team finances and would get to see if he can show that 2018 was just the start of a long, stellar career.
Hoskins is even easier for me. He is a big bat, but one that is limited to first base if you don’t want to hurt your team defense too much. I am a big proponent of strong defensive play, so would never let Hoskins be my starting left fielder.
He is not even eligible for arbitration until after the 2020 season. I am going year-to-year and simply renewing Hoskins for the next couple off-seasons. Then after 2020, let’s see what happens with Trout and where our overall team finances are at that point.

PULLING IT ALL TOGETHER

To me, this is how you need to approach the Trout situation – pay much of the Harper contract up front. Give him $55 million in each of the next two years, and then have the deal trail off to a $30 million average over the final eight years when you need to also pay Trout.
Paying Harper a higher salary in each of the next two years gives you flexibility to add more during the mid-2020’s. That could possibly include paying raises for players like Hoskins and any of the other current youngsters who might still be around at that point.
Also, you have to presume that the CBT threshold will increase substantially in the next Basic Agreement. A five-year MLB BA could see the CBT rise to $250 million by the end, making it easier to fit in such salary commitments.
A team’s total salary hit against that CBT is currently based on the AAV (average annual value) of a contract. So no matter what, the Phillies would take a $35 million hit on Harper and a $40 million hit on Trout. But that is for now. The MLBPA will certainly be going after that issue in the next BA.
Paying Harper much of the money up front could allow the Phillies much more flexibility in possibly trading him down the road, assuming there isn’t a full no-trade for the length of the deal. I would be looking for that opportunity to deal him at some point, maybe 6-7 years down the road, in exchange for that up front money.

HARPER AND MACHADO?

I’m on record as not wanting Machado here in Philly. That has much more to do with his personality than his salary. But let’s say you want him on top of everything else. Can the Phillies possible afford him too? The answer is probably yes.
Figure that Machado would want roughly the same $350 million that Harper will want. Give it to him. Pay him $50 million in each of the next two non-Trout seasons. Then you average a little more than $30 million over the final eight seasons.

In that scenario you are paying Trout $40 million, Machado and Harper each roughly $30 million, each year from 2021-28. That would be $100 million of what should be an overall Phillies player salary budget that remains over $200 million during that entire period.
The ability to handle such contracts would be helped greatly by the team’s ability to bring up productive players from their minor league system.
Filling lineup spots and on the pitching staff with as many young, talented, homegrown players as possible over that decade would make affordability and winning both a much easier. So would
While that sounds massive to fans, the fact is that will be what it costs to put an attractive, star-filled, winning and title-contending team on the field year-after-year. With a team value that should rise to at least the $2 billion mark by that time, the Phillies organization could easily afford it.
Fact is, controlling owner John Middleton and whomever is making up his Philadelphia Phillies management team over the next decade is going to be able to afford a star-studded team.

Now, are they willing to do so? Will they be able to deliver a consistent World Series contender to the fan base that includes players they want to come out and watch? That remains to be seen.

Originally published at Phillies Nation as “How Phillies could sign Harper and pitching, do Hoskins and Nola deals, and still pursue Trout